Tigers 2009: Treading Water

Who was the biggest disappointment in MLB in 2008? For most people that was the Detroit Tigers. After fielding projections that put the Tigers back in the World Series based on acquiring Miguel Cabrera and Dontrelle Willis (in particular), the Tigers fell flat on day one and never recovered.

 

The 2009 Tigers don’t appear much different. Age and injury still look to be prominent factors on the diamond, as Gary Sheffield and Magglio Ordonez still roam the clubhouse. The bullpen lost closer Todd Jones to retirement, and Father Time, Jim Leyland, is still at the helm.

 

Trivia

 


large_magglio30.jpgJust two years ago, Magglio Ordonez finished second in AL MVP voting, behind Alex Rodriguez. Who was the last hitter to win an MVP for the Tigers?

 

The Good

 

The Tigers picked up able-bodies in free agents Adam Everett and Brandon Lyon, plus Gerald Laird and Edwin Jackson via trades. Each of the four major Tiger additions should bring some stability to question mark positions from 2008.

 

The Bad

 

Questions surrounding the pitching staff are widely circulated. Can Justin Verlander bounce back to 2006-07 form and hold the team’s #1 starter spot? Is Jeremy Bonderman’s 2008 injury going to play a factor in his 2009 season? Can Brandon Lyon be an effective closer? Will Joel Zumaya or Dontrelle Willis ever be healthy again? Was Edwin Jackson’s 2008 a fluke year or a breakout season?

 

Developing a particular question about everybody on a pitching staff doesn’t generally bode well. The Tigers pitchers have all shown brilliance at one time or another. The question is whether or not they can rebound and all be great again at the same time.

 

Bottom Line

 

On paper, the Tigers look like a contender yet again. The problem with that statement is that it’s “on paper.” There are sill way too many questions about the team’s injuries, age and makeup to predict this team as a true World Series contender. Of course, it’s not unfathomable to see everything coming together as it did in 2006.

 

Trivia Answer

 


HankGreenberg.jpgTigers hitters won 4 of the first 10 MVPs ever given out (between 1931-1940) but none since OF Hank Greenberg won in 1940. Tigers pitchers have won just as many since 1940 (4) Hal Newhouser (1944-45), Denny McLain (1968), Willie Hernandez (1984).

 

Prediction

 

The Tigers are treading water. The questions aren’t disappearing anytime soon and the Tigers are too saddled with salaries to make positive moves for the future.

 

A high 5th place finish again in the AL Central, 75-87.

 

Photo credits:

Magglio Ordonez – http://blog.mlive.com/state_sports/2007/09/tigers_13_white_sox_3.html

Hank Greenberg – http://www.personal.psu.edu/csr4/PSU3/Jewish-Americans/index.html

 

5 Comments

There must be something in the water in Detroit. They don’t seem to have to many things to cheer about; sports wise at least.

Julia
http://werbiefitz.mlblogs.com/

I think the Tigers are right there with all 30 clubs: Anyone can go to the World Series in 2009. Anyone. Did I mention anyone? Whatever common predictions you hear now, be sure to throw them out asap. I recently started predicting the most outlandish outcomes at this time of year, and when I revisit them each October, they look pretty decent. Two years ago I had the Rockies going to the World Series…and they did. Last year, I tripped up on San Diego. I just think the Tigers could be back in the World Series as easily as anyone. It’s whoever gets hot in September anyway. Reputation and Most Hot Stove Headlines means nothing.

Mark/MLB.com
http://mlblogs.mlblogs.com
http://www.twitter.com/mlblogs

Julia must have forgotten about the Red Wings :)

Mark, I completely agree the Tigers could be playing deep into October. I just don’t think they will be. As I mentioned, all the question marks need to be removed for a real shot at the World Series.
And yes, I think Julia forgot about the Wings. They’ve been pretty hot this season, except when I watch them, that’s when they struggle.
Ben

Yes, but of course the perceived “question marks” are usually based on common logic and general consensus among baseball watchers, and that is where I always have a problem. The first time I see a lot of my peers out there in the BBWAA and bloggers all perceiving this or that signing or trade acquisition is a major asset and the answer to prayers, that’s when I generally write it off as lemmingalysis. I’m the anti-Bill James, too. OK, K-Rod just set the saves record and now is the answer at closer for the Mets. OK, Yanks just spent a continent of money on big names. Logic never works in Major League Baseball prognosticating. There is one key force in Major League Baseball and all sports that trumps EVERYTHING. It is “we will shock the world.” The team that feels that and lives it has the advantage every time.

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